San Jose Multifamily Market Overview: Mid-2026 Trends and Outlook
San Jose and the broader Silicon Valley multifamily market continue to show strong fundamentals relative to many U.S. apartment markets, based on recent third-party data from CoStar. Reported conditions include low vacancy, limited new construction, and renter demand tied in part to high-income technology and AI-oriented households.
CoStar's July 2026 Apartment Monthly Rent Report again showed San Jose ranking near the top of major U.S. markets for rent growth. San Jose apartment rents rose 0.39% month over month, second behind San Francisco's 0.59%, while annual rent growth accelerated to 6.8%, also second behind San Francisco. Nationally, rents were essentially flat for the month (+0.03%) and up 1.0% year over year, underscoring how far Bay Area rent growth is running ahead of the U.S. average.
Independent data points in the same direction. Apartment List's most recent national rent report shows the San Francisco and San Jose metros logging the nation's fastest year-over-year rent growth, at 7.4% and 6.1% respectively, while the national median rent was down 1.2% over the same period.
Across Santa Clara and San Benito counties, average apartment rents are reported to be near $3,400 per month, up from about $2,700 before the pandemic. According to CoStar forecasts cited in mid-2026 reporting, rents could approach $3,600 if current assumptions materialize, with projected rent growth of 6% to 7% over the next year. These are third-party forecasts and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future market performance or investment results.
Vacancy may also tighten further. CoStar projects apartment vacancy across Santa Clara and San Benito counties could fall to about 3% over the next two years, which would be among the lowest levels in more than a decade. If realized, lower vacancy and limited new supply could support continued rent growth, though actual results may differ from current forecasts.
The supply side remains the central constraint. Before the pandemic, apartment starts across the region averaged about 1,600 units per quarter. In the second half of 2024, the market recorded no new starts. Construction has since rebounded to about 1,050 starts in the latest quarter, but remains well below historic levels and is unlikely to provide meaningful near-term relief.
Overall, the latest July 2026 data suggests that San Jose's multifamily market remains supported by a favorable supply-demand backdrop. However, market forecasts are inherently uncertain and may be affected by employment trends, interest rates, capital market conditions, affordability constraints, operating costs, regulatory changes, and future construction activity.
Annual Rent Growth (July 2026)
6.8%
Year-over-year rent growth reported by CoStar; #2 among major U.S. markets.
Average Rent (Mid-2026)
$3,400
Approximate current average reported across Santa Clara and San Benito counties.
Vacancy Outlook
~3%
CoStar forecast over the next two years; not guaranteed.
Construction Starts
1,050
Latest-quarter apartment starts reported by CoStar.
Market data and forecasts are based on third-party sources believed to be reliable but are subject to change. This summary is for informational purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities, investment advice, or a guarantee of future results.